Tuesday, 24 January 2017

MOVIES, FINANCE, AND BUSINESS.

Don’t you think movies always fascinate people? Is there someone who doesn’t love movies in the present world? Absolutely not! I always wondered how movies make business in the present world.
Bhajrangi Bhaijan is a great movie which grossed $600 million. We quite often see on various websites that someone keeps on posting “the most profitable movies of the year”. This list usually uses the budget of the movie and the collections it has made after the initial release. This always confounded me whenever I give a quick glance to the list. Making movies is a kind of business where financing has to be made which is noted as “film financing”
HOW WILL THE FINANCING HAPPEN?
Financing is the important aspect of movie making. Without money, movies can’t exist, but it is a kind of topic where least information is floating around. The main factors that determine the commercial success of a movie are public taste, artistic merit, competition from other films released, the quality of the script, the quality of cash, etc. But there is no accurate method to determine the level of revenue returns for a film though it is mentioned commercial on paper. Many commercial films make money over decades. The time value of money plays an important role here. The film which got released today will be played on the televisions for over a decade or two which would generate the revenue for the succession years after the initial release of the movie.     In the past, there was only box office for the investors to gain present value return on their investment.
The difficulty in raising a capital for any venture is two-folded. Firstly, the market is too crowded with a plethora of opportunities that are currently earning strong returns. Secondly, speculation is the killer of financial deals. Future is uncertain and unlikely to know. Few people want to invest in an opportunity where returns are unlikely.
When it comes to film financing other than capital many other aspects like talent, timeline, multiple financiers, scheduling, and structure comes into play. So keeping this in mind, how do we finance a film?
There are plenty of ways to finance a film:
1.    Government subsidies: Government of many nations run various programs to provide subsidies to the various films. They are willing to provide subsidies in order to attract the creative individuals to their territory and to nourish employment.
2.    Tax incentives: Some US states and other territories provide provisions 15% to 70% tax or cash incentives for the cost of production to the films/televisions as expenditure. This is called soft money. This money is incurred by the production unit after the final payments to the workers, financial institutions, and other prop companies.
3.    Private equity financing: Most often the cost of production is regained by a couple of taxes which are state level and federal level tax incentives, eliminating the most of the risk. Though the risk is eliminated, capital is required as a direct investment here. For instance, if an investor invests capital into film production, he/she will receive the equal amount of capital in the form of tax incentives, pre-sales, and state tax credits.
4.    Debt financing: Pre-sales play a key role in debt financing. The production unit of the movie will distribute the copyrights of the movie to various territories before the movie gets completed. Typically, the buyer who buys the movie will pay 20% of the amount to the production unit as an advance and the remaining 80% balance will be paid after the initial release of the movie.
5.    Crowdfunding: It is a practice where general public started financing in movies. They are less risky, more profitable, more innovative independent films. Crowd financed films are iron sky, kung fury, star trek and veronica mars.



Even after scaling these hurdles, making the movie is one of the biggest challenges to the crew of the movie. Each and every person in the movie have to strive hard to make it a magnum opus.

Impact on stock market due to US presidential elections


Stock markets are very sensitive to events and information. There could be volatility in the stock prices either side based on the news. Events might be Natural disasters like Earthquakes and Man- made attacks like terrorism. For instance, the market today is interconnected. That is the earthquake which was occurred in the Indian ocean on December 26 ,2004, showed an impact on THE stock market by reducing the percentage of stock up to 3.8%.And also,from Oslo to London to Brazil to Brussels terrorist attacks would puncture the relative calm working world to enormous irregularity.After Paris attack on November 13,2015, the CAC 40 has dropped to 1% just after it opened.When it comes to information,the presidential elections of USA might impact the stock market worldwide. There was an illusion that the victory of Donald Trump would likely cause the stock market DJIA, -0.02% to crash and plunge the world into recession.
Is there any relation between US presidential elections and stock market worldwide?The US
presidential elections are the major event that takes place in every four years and affects economies all over the world. Election results not only influence the corporate performance but also on the stock market.Stock market participants incorporate their expectations about political changes into prices just before an election and adjust it according to the actual decision made following the election.Therefore future markets increase volatility in fixed elections due to uncertainty about the election results and their inference.The election process in some countries takes few weeks, but in United states ,the presidential candidates undergo a political marathon, negotiating primaries, party conventions, and electoral system. American politicians say the way they elect they president is one of the most open and democratic processes in the whole world. US presidential elections are always
held in November.
The presidential election begins with the primary elections and caucuses and moves to
nominating-conventions 3,during which political parties select a nominee to unite. The nominee also announces a vice presidential candidate at this time. The candidates then campaign across the country to explain their views and plans to voters and participant in debates with the candidates of other parties.And then comes the general election To win the election, a candidate must receive a majority of electoral votes. In the event no candidate receives the majority, the House of  Representatives chooses the President and the Senate chooses the Vice President.
In this study, we examine the affects of the presidential elections on the stock price indices like NIFTY 50, NASDAQ, SSE and EUROSTOXX 50 which are related to India, USA, China, and Europe respectively. This study measures the stock price sensitivity to election results for the presidential elections from 1992 to 2016 that is since the establishment of NSE. Therefore we measure stock price returns in different countries for 5 months period prior and after the election.
1.Djia: Dow jones industrial average
the Dow, is a stock market index, and one of the several indices created by Wall Street Journal editor and Dow Jones & Company co-founder Charles Dow.
2.state primaries are run by state and local government. This voting occurs through a secret ballot.
Caucuses are private meeting run by political parties. In most, participants divide themselves into
groups according to the candidate they support and each group give speeches supporting its candidate and tries to persuade others to join its group.And the end they count the voters in each candidate’s group and calculate.
3.nominating conventions -the party normally knows who has won.
 The delegates from each state formally choose their champion to go forward as the presidential candidate.
From the above, it could be easily said that the investing community as a whole and the academicians are interested in understanding the factors that influence the sensitiveness of the stock indices. The present paper is an attempt to understand and document the sensitiveness (volatility) of the select stock indices such as Nifty 50 of India, Nasdaq of the USA, SSE of China,Eurostoxx of Europe. For the purpose of the study, the time period of 1992 to 2016 has been chosen. This period coincides with the establishment of National Stock Exchange in India in 1992. The above stated
period covers five number of presidential elections.